Why Is Merck Stock Surging?
Medicine pill is seen with Merck logo displayed on a screen in the background in this illustration photo taken in Poland on November 5, 2021. (Photo by Jakub Porzycki/NurPhoto via Getty Images)
NurPhoto via Getty Images
Merck (MRK)’s stock surged by 41% over the past six months, driven not significantly by revenue, but rather by increased profits and heightened investor confidence. Following crucial Q3 earnings exceeding expectations, the FDA’s approval of Keytruda’s new formulation, and an excellent upgrade from Wells Fargo, several factors contributed to this boost—let’s delve into the main reasons for the rise.
Presented below is an analytical overview of stock movement based on key contributing metrics.
What is occurring here? The stock rose by 41% over six months, propelled by a slight 0.5% increase in revenue, a significant 8.6% rise in net margin, and a substantial 28% increase in the P/E multiple. Let’s investigate the reasons behind these changes.
Here Is Why Merck Stock Moved
- Q3 2025 Earnings: Q3 revenue amounted to $17.3B (+4%), non-GAAP EPS at $2.58, with 2025 guidance raised. Strong sales of Keytruda.
- FDA KEYTRUDA Approval: The FDA granted approval for KEYTRUDA+Padcev for MIBC, marking a first-in-class regimen, which expands Keytruda’s market.
- Wells Fargo Upgrade: An analyst raised MRK to Overweight based on pipeline progress and confidence in growth following Keytruda.
- Keytruda SubQ Launch: Subcutaneous KEYTRUDA QLEX was approved/launched in the EU, enhancing future revenues after LOE.
- Q2 2025 Earnings: Q2 revenue was $15.8B (-2%), with non-GAAP EPS at $2.13. The focus remains on investment in the pipeline and growth for H2.
Our Current Assessment Of MRK Stock
Opinion: We currently believe MRK stock is fairly valued. Why is this the case? Take a look at the complete story. Read Buy or Sell MRK Stock to understand what informs our existing viewpoint.
Risk: A useful method to assess the risk associated with MRK is to observe its declines during significant market downturns. It experienced a 63% loss during the Global Financial Crisis and approximately 38% during the Dot-Com Bubble. Even less substantial shocks affected it severely — such as a 27% decline during the Covid pandemic and about 20% during the Inflation Shock. The 2018 correction wasn’t particularly forgiving, with an 18% drop. While MRK may boast strong fundamentals, historical data indicates it is not invulnerable when market conditions worsen.
MRK stock may have experienced considerable gains lately; however, investing in a single stock without comprehensive, detailed analysis can be risky. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, consisting of 30 stocks, has a proven track record of consistently outperforming its benchmark, which includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is this the case? Collectively, HQ Portfolio stocks have delivered superior returns with less risk compared to the benchmark index; offering a smoother investment experience, as shown in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.
This article was published by Trefis Team on 2025-11-26 08:14:00
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